The perfect COVID-19 vaccination strategy

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Who should get the COVID-19 vaccine first? Since I am an economist, let’s try to figure this out mathematically. Let’s give each person or group of people a score or ranking and vaccinate each individual in priority.

One key factor, is that we should the vaccine to the people most at risk for the disease. In this case, our ranking (R) is just a function of people’s mortality risk conditional on getting COVID-19. Older individuals and those in nursing homes are at much higher risk. Thus, we should vaccinate based on how likely people are to die if they

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